The Different Hurricane Models (Part One)
It has been more than 40 years since the first hurricane model was created in 1978, and technology has grown increasingly better since with so many more models being developed to forecast our natural world. In this first part, we will begin to cover some of the popular modern hurricane models around the world and how they compare with each other!
ECMWF- the European model has some of the strongest processing power in these models and because of that, is extremely reliable in predicting global weather patterns. However, in recent years it hasn't given accurate readings for the Tropics area such as the incorrect prediction that Houston would be destroyed in 2020’s Hurricane Laura. That said, it still remains one of the most popular global hurricane models.
UKMET- keeping with the European continent, the UKMET is the British model and has shown to be more reliable in the Tropics area. That said, on the other hand it does show generally more errors in global weather forecasts compared to the European model. Besides a bias for tracking west, the UKMET also forecasts shorter increments and has delays, making it not the best option for many forecasters.
We hope you found this information on the different hurricane models insightful on each of their individual strengths! At AJS, we are committed to serving the Gulf Coast and beyond in moving, building, and leveling and we are here to help you and your properties. For lifting, construction, or moving, give us a call today to schedule a free consultation!